CCSA Update: 59 new Covid-19 cases and 1 death

17 Comments

1. 

   Ynwaps

   Wednesday, January 20, 2021 at 12:55 pm

   The article suggests that the Thai woman died because she was working as a driver for migrant workers. Quality journalism at it’s peak.

   Reply
   • 

     MYOB

     Wednesday, January 20, 2021 at 1:33 pm

     A 48 year old Thai woman died after testing positive for Covid-19.

     Yes very thorough journalism here.

     I roll my eyes at all covid headlines.

     They had me scared with videos from that one country of people dropping dead and convulsing with hospitals packed and the make shift prison quarantine container hospital built in 10 days then dismantled after 20.

     What a load of bull covid is.

     Where all the dead people mr John has been warning is inevitable.

     But yes, the precautions taken by thais is why it’s all going away again.

     Reply
   • 

     J West

     Wednesday, January 20, 2021 at 1:36 pm

     What’s your conclusion as to how she was exposed?

     Reply
     • 

       Issan John

       Wednesday, January 20, 2021 at 8:37 pm

       It does seem a not unreasonable possibility!

       Reply
2. 

   Bradley michegan

   Wednesday, January 20, 2021 at 3:06 pm

   My conclusion is, once this virus gets somewhere it doesn’t stop, this mass rise in cases makes me think its another new variant but no one will admit that. All the outlying provinces are still being infected but no one is mass testing except in the epi centre so no one would know. Thailand being so family centric you would expect it to rip through older people, so what are they being recorded as dying from?

   Reply
3. 

   Kristof

   Wednesday, January 20, 2021 at 4:06 pm

   Data does look hopeful. Keep up the diligence & unified response a few weeks longer and see if it’s real. In spite of naysay i personally feel a lot safer in Thailand than most other places in the world.

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   • 

     David Beckman

     Wednesday, January 20, 2021 at 5:58 pm

     What data are you talking about? These numbers don’t meen a thing unless proper data is shown ,for we all know they may have only tested 100 people, I mean it’s no secret around the world that countries are concealing real figures to prevent economy’s collapsing. Show me the data and I will believe.

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     • 

       Issan John

       Wednesday, January 20, 2021 at 8:47 pm

       What “data” would you like?

       The numbers tested have been widely reported in several articles across a range of media, including here, so although YOU may be unaware of it that doesn’t mean “we” or anyone capable of reading more than this one article are equally ignorant.

       Why do you have to be “shown” everything when it’s readily available?

       Reply
       • 

         David Beckman

         Wednesday, January 20, 2021 at 9:22 pm

         IJ again commenting in riddles without any definitive response ,there is no data provided as it is in other countries, please feel free to provide such places rather than blankly comment, time to take your pills and go to bed.

         Reply
         • 

           Whiro

           Thursday, January 21, 2021 at 12:18 am

           I totally agree with you.
           Blankly comments, yes this news site is full of them.
           Glad to see someone saying what I am feeling.
           Thanks David.
         • 

           Kristof

           Thursday, January 21, 2021 at 12:26 pm

           This is strange; i tried now twice to reply with posting scientific data regarding number of tests done and percentage of positive tests, but both postings have not been listed. I cited all sources also. Other posts made after mine have gone thru. Not sure what policy i’m breaking here :-/
         • 

           Bobby M

           Thursday, January 21, 2021 at 2:18 pm

           Agreed David.

           For example, where are the results from the 35.000 tests at Sakhon, they said were to be done a few days ago.
     • 

       Kristof

       Wednesday, January 20, 2021 at 10:28 pm

       Greetings Beckman. Many folks frequently indicate confusion/absence of knowledge about testing quantities. But much information can be found by doing some research. Recommend forgoing what you read/hear in social media/popular news in place of analyzing medical and scientific data. My preferred way to visualize is ‘number of tests done in relation to positive cases found per million (extrapolated over adjustable durations of time)’. Not sure if i’m allowed to post links to scientific sites, but i will try here. If it does not go thru, please investigate the Univ of Oxford’s ‘ourworldindata dot org’ postings and manipulate the control panels to adjust time sequences to your own preferences. You will find it very revealing in contrast to the ongoing blare and misinformation over-prevalent on social media.

       Oxford Martin School Data Findings:
       https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/covid-19-daily-tests-vs-daily-new-confirmed-cases-per-million?tab=chart&stackMode=absolute&time=2020-12-16..2021-01-11&country=~THA&region=World

       Summary of Oxford Martin School Thailand Data (Dec 12-Jan 11):
       The above link displays number of tests performed in Thailand in relation to positive cases found. I have adjusted the time range to show patterns between the dates of Dec 12 and Jan 11th. I am still waiting for updated information past Jan 11th on Thailand; hopefully they will post this shortly. But if you look at the pattern you will see that on Dec 12 the testing rate was 74 tests/million/day (~5180 tests per day). Follow the progression line and you will see testing rates begin to increase until nearly doubling by Dec 22 at 139/million/day (~9730 tests/day). Note that the visualization is logarithmic not linear; a small nudge upward in the line is actually a large one. Also note that between Dec 16 and 19 while testing quantity does not significantly increase, the percentage of positive results found jumps from roughly 0.3% to 2.0%. This is a large steady jump which indicates clear viral spread. Yet from Dec 19 when testing starts to ramp up, the number of positive cases found begins to curve back below the 2% line. So as testing increases in fact less cases are being found, indicating that preventive measures are beginning to take effect. By Jan 11th testing rate is hovering somewhere in the range of 400/million/day (~28000 tests/day), yet fortunately the percentage of positive detections found in those tests remains below the 2% line. This implies an increase in testing yet without a stabalized percentage of positive cases found, thus implying more general control of the spread. So the overall trend while not necessarily positive does appear hopeful, at least as far as the most recent figures can show us. Still it takes time for much of this data to be updated. Hence my synopsis that at present things only appear to be going in the right direction and we will not know genuine results until the next few weeks when accurate figures become available. Please let me know if that helps answer your inquiry, tnx.

       Reply
       • 

         Kristof

         Friday, January 22, 2021 at 6:49 am

         Thank you Thaiger staff for finally allowing my post. Note: link i posted is not listed correctly but can be seen by going to the ourworldindata site itself and adjusting the controls. Also there is a typo in the 5th to last sentence: “This implies an increase in testing yet without a stabalized percentage of positive cases found” should read “This implies an increase in testing yet with a stabalized percentage of positive cases found.” Not that it matters at this point as its basically old news now and i’m pretty much just a fool in an empty room talking to himself. Tnx.

         Reply
4. 

   Ynwaps

   Wednesday, January 20, 2021 at 4:11 pm

   Everyone who got exposed was either reckless or too close to a migrant/foreigner or expat, duh.
   Do you even read the news?!

   Reply
5. 

   jps

   Thursday, January 21, 2021 at 9:18 am

   I think these numbers are BS. Thailand does no testing that could give conclusive figures. If you were to test every person in Thailand you would have a far higher number but the Government are downplaying things all the time.
   Fake numbers will not open Thailand.

   Reply
6. 

   markmywords

   Friday, January 22, 2021 at 12:39 pm

   Let’s see if I get censored for finishing this story…

   WHO guidance Diagnostic testing for SARS-CoV-2 states that careful interpretation of weak positive results is needed (1).

   The cycle threshold (Ct) needed to detect virus is inversely proportional to the patient’s viral load.

   Where test results do not correspond with the clinical presentation, a new specimen should be taken and retested using the same or different NAT technology.

   literally one hour after Biden takes the oath, the WHO admits that PCR testing at high amplification rates alters the predictive value of the tests and results in a huge number of false positives

   Reply