Connect with us

Phuket

Impact of investment crash “too early to tell’

Legacy Phuket Gazette

Published

 on 

Impact of investment crash “too early to tell’ | Thaiger

PHUKET: While the stock market took the brunt of the “Black Tuesday” sell-off triggered by the capital controls put in place to stem speculation against the rising Thai baht, experts say that it is still too early to gauge the long-term impact on Phuket’s property market.

Although the 30% withholding requirement on foreign capital inflows was quickly rescinded for certain transactions, including direct foreign investment and stock market transactions, at the time of going to press the rule still applied to other forms of foreign investment, including property funds.

The draconian measures, adopted by the Bank of Thailand (BOT) on December 18, initially affected all capital inflows of US$20,000 (about 70,000 baht) or greater.

Foreigners were required to make a 30% withholding deposit with the BOT. Where it still applies, the measure effectively freezes up investment capital without earning interest for at least one year, after which time the depositor can apply for a refund.

Phummisak Hongsyok, Phuket’s representative to the National Legislative Assembly, told the Gazette that the BOT’s methods were strong but effective in stemming the baht’s rise against the American currency. He agreed with the BOT’s decision to relax the measure for stock market investment, saying it was too strict.

The long-term fallout on direct investment and the real estate market can be assessed only after January 4, when the holiday period has ended and further BOT adjustments may be announced, he added.

The currency control measures were the second government announcement to have a major impact on foreign investment in the property sector this year. The first was a Ministry of Interior order issued last May instructing provincial governors to crack down on foreigners using Thais as “nominees” to set up real estate investment firms, he noted.

Investor confidence would improve if the BOT had issued an advance statement of how the currency control measures were intended to affect foreign property investment, he said.

“The government has to make a clear-cut decision as to what extent they want to open up Phuket, and Thailand, to foreigners wishing to stay and invest here. This would include revising visa regulations to support long-stay tourism as well as currency controls,” he said.

Neighboring countries, such as Malaysia and Vietnam, had already adopted measures to promote long-stay tourism, he added.

Graham Bibby, Managing Director of the Richmond Group and also an experienced currency analyst, views the BOT’s latest actions as misdirected.

“The whole problem is not about the Thai baht going up. It’s about the US dollar going down. The BOT is focusing on the wrong thing … The BOT needs to educate its exporters. They worry about the exporters, but in most countries exporters know how to hedge the the currency – to lock in the currency rate…This is not a Thai baht problem, it is a US dollar problem. In my view, the Thai baht is going to go to 30 to the US dollar in the next six to eight months,” he predicted.

“For property investment, in some respects it is not so bad. The only problem is that it was on the front page of every newspaper, which portrays Thailand in a negative way.

“What I have been telling clients is that this proves my point that Thailand is too international now. In the old days, 15 or 20 years ago, they could do this. But now they can’t do this even if they want to because the international community will not accept it,” he said.

He agreed with K. Phummisak that the government should consider relaxing its stance on foreign ownership of property, perhaps by allowing foreigners to own one property freehold or by introducing some sort of “perpetual lease”.

 

Get more from The Thaiger

📱 Download our app on Android or iOS
👋 Have your say on our Thailand forums
🔔 Subscribe to our daily email newsletter
📺 Subscribe / Join YouTube for daily shows
👍 Like/Follow us on Facebook
🐦 FOLLOW us on Twitter
📷 FOLLOW us on Instagram

image

Join the conversation and have your say on Thailand news published on The Thaiger.

Thaiger Talk is our new Thaiger Community where you can join the discussion on everything happening in Thailand right now.

Please note that articles are not posted to the forum instantly and can take up to 20 min before being visible. Click for more information and the Thaiger Talk Guidelines.

Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Archiving articles from the Phuket Gazette circa 1998 - 2017. View the Phuket Gazette online archive and Digital Gazette PDF Prints.

Follow Thaiger by email:

Thailand7 hours ago

Oct 1 reopening NOT confirmed, Kpop star sparks frenzy for Thai meatballs |Thailand News Today

Hua Hin8 hours ago

Final arguments Tuesday on dual pricing suit against Health Ministry

World9 hours ago

Texas lawyer dressed as Halloween’s Michael Myers to spread hurricane cheer

Welcome back to Thailand!

Thaiger is getting behind local businesses for the restart of tourism in Thailand - up to 50% discounts across all advertising packages!

Thailand9 hours ago

The Last Dance feat. Mike | Thaiger Bites | September 17

Thailand10 hours ago

No “October reopening” plan has been approved – CCSA

Thailand10 hours ago

Public Health Ministry defends October 1 reopening

image
Join the conversation on the Thaiger Talk forums today!
Coronavirus (Covid-19)10 hours ago

Friday Covid Update: 14,555 new cases; provincial totals

Crime10 hours ago

Torture and forced disappearances bills pass House vote 368-0

Bangkok11 hours ago

Bangkok Governor: NO reopening October 15 despite PM plans

Pattaya12 hours ago

Thai-Russian 4 year old girl drowns in Pattaya home pool

Phuket12 hours ago

New centre proposed to provide ATKs cheap at Phuket entrance

Thailand12 hours ago

Morning Top Stories | Covid Free setting, Pattaya bars might not open | September 17 |

Thailand12 hours ago

Thailand Daily Covid Update | Thursday, September 17 |

World13 hours ago

Foreign Minister Don to US for meetings with UN, ASEAN, more

Thailand13 hours ago

The Future of Medical Tourism in Thailand | Good Morning Thailand LIVE | Episode 91

Morning Top Stories Thailand | Police to end protests, Human Trafficking | September 14 | Thaiger
Thailand4 days ago

Morning Top Stories Thailand | Police to end protests, Human Trafficking | September 14

Thailand7 months ago

Thailand News Today | Thai Airways in rehab, All go for Songkran | March 4

Tourism7 months ago

Phuket’s nightlife. Yes, bars and clubs are still open | VIDEO

Phuket7 months ago

Thailand News Today | Covid passport talks, Thai Airways heads to court | March 2

Tourism7 months ago

Phuket Thai food treats you need to try | VIDEO

Thailand7 months ago

Thailand News Today | Bars, pubs and restaurants ‘sort of’ back to normal | Feb 23

Tourism7 months ago

In search of Cat & Dog Cafés in Phuket Town | VIDEO

Thailand8 months ago

Thailand News Today | Gambling crackdown, Seafood market to reopen, Vlogger challenge | Jan 21

Thailand8 months ago

Thailand News Today | Covid testing for visas, Business impact, Vaccine approval | January 19

Thailand8 months ago

Thailand News Today | Weekend Bangkok bombs, Thailand fires, Covid update | January 18

Thailand8 months ago

Thailand News Today | Stray car on runway, Indonesian quake, 300 baht tourist fee | January 15

Thailand8 months ago

Thailand News Today | Governor off respirator, sex-trafficking arrest, condo prices falling | January 14

Thailand8 months ago

Thailand News Today | Chinese vaccine, Thailand ‘drug hub’, Covid update | January 13

Thailand8 months ago

Thailand News Today | Bangkok may ease restrictions, Phuket bar curfew, Vaccine roll out | January 12

Thailand8 months ago

Thailand News Today | Covid latest, Cockfights closed down, Bryde’s Whale beached | January 11

Trending