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Could there be another coup in Thailand? VIDEO

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Our analysis about the likelihood of another coup in Thailand, along with a list of 12 previous coups and their consequences. Please watch the video and subscribe to our YouTube Thaiger channel.

Last Thursday was another day of political cat and mouse, protesters staging three more rallies around Bangkok whilst officials again huffed and puffed, not really sure exactly how to proceed. Up to now their answer has been to arrest, then release, protest leaders. Then arrest them again… avoiding any real dialogue or progress on the demanded reforms.

Even a joint sitting of the Thai Parliament at the start of last week provided no clear way forward from the current impasse. Indeed a Suan Dusit Poll indicated that most people surveyed believed the joint sitting of parliament was just a stalling tactic by the incumbent coalition.

Then there were calls for another coup.

Thailand has already had 12 coups in an almost predictable cycle of military coup, revised constitutions, new elections, protests, the coup, rinse and repeat.

(List of all coups in the video)

The parliamentary speaker, the respected Chuan Leekpai, insisted he didn’t want to chair any reconciliation committee.

A 2 day emergency joint sitting of parliament, which ended on Tuesday, failed to produce any resolution to the deteriorating political impasse. Indeed the ruling government insisted that no motions could be voted on after the debates. Nothing was resolved.

They’re young, mobile, motivated and use modern social media intuitively. There’s also a lot of them. Across the table, the current government, and the PM, have incumbency along with the support of the Thai army, the palace and the guns.

At some point there will have to be concessions from some, or all, of the main players. Any coup would merely push any real changes down the road and allow the current inconvenient discussions to fester.

 

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5 Comments

5 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Toby Andrews

    Wednesday, November 4, 2020 at 4:50 pm

    Seems the only way.
    Old tyrant number one will not go until he is pushed.

  2. Avatar

    Jack

    Wednesday, November 4, 2020 at 5:10 pm

    Eventually fiat money will be no more. When that goes, so does the entire concept of a “nation state” the concept of the “nation state” in the age of the internet is as primitive as horse and carriage or fax machine. The real coup will be digital and led by all the people, and not a single act of violence will be necessary. Adopt crypto currency and gold and silver back into your life, and just ends this hibristic madness.

    Were better than they are.

  3. Avatar

    Khun plastic

    Thursday, November 5, 2020 at 12:05 am

    Seems to be a long held Thai tradition.

    People get pissed with government,
    Military steps in.
    King comes out of palace to stop it kicking off big time.
    Military installed interim pm/dictator assures press all foreign biz interests will be un affected.
    Elections,new pm installed.

    Go back to start of list.

  4. Avatar

    Issan John

    Thursday, November 5, 2020 at 12:13 am

    Being realistic, changes have been regularly “pushed down the road” for close to 90 years, and the current crop of protesters are after the exact same things now that they were after then.

    I’m not too sure what that suggests.

  5. Avatar

    Khun plastic

    Thursday, November 5, 2020 at 5:16 am

    I think there is real potential for social change this time round.

    The youth of the country (and many others for that matter)are pissed off,there is nothing for them and they know it.

    Grabbing the leaders or divide and conquer tactics are unlikely to work this time round due to the internet.

    Chuck in millions are now unemployed and the low esteem his nibs at the palace is held in and the pieces of the jigsaw start to fit very well.

    Notrodamus plastic is going to throw in a few more dire predictions!

    I would be very surprised if square head and his cute sister were not watching things very closely also.

    I would be very surprised if the rural red shirt brigade are doing very well at the moment.

    It would not take much more to create the perfect storm.

    I think his nibs knows this and he is ready to do bunk at any second.
    I find it surprising he decided the other year that all the royal cash should be in his bank account,why would he do that?

    We live in interesting times.
    Happy Halloween.

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