Connect with us

Economy

Economic think-tank says the future of tourism in Thailand hangs on vaccination

Maya Taylor

Published 

 on 

Economic think-tank says the future of tourism in Thailand hangs on vaccination | Thaiger
PHOTO: Wikimedia

The research division of Thailand’s Kasikorn Bank says everything hangs on vaccination strategies, both here and abroad. Kevalin Wangpichayasuk from the Kasikorn Research Centre says the rollout of Covid-19 vaccines globally will have a significant impact on the recovery of tourism in the Kingdom, with 2 million foreign tourists expected to arrive in the last quarter of the year. However, she points out that this is a huge drop from tourism’s hey day and the country will still be heavily reliant on the domestic market.

“Thailand’s path to economic recovery will mostly depend on the tourism industry (outlook) as to when the country will reopen for foreign tourist arrivals. The Covid-19 vaccines and the (re-opening) policy of each country will have a significant impact on the recovery of Thailand’s tourism industry in 2021.”

According to a Bangkok Post report, Kevalin says the rollout of vaccines in countries from where most visitors to Thailand originate, coupled with the administration of vaccines in the Kingdom, will be instrumental in how quickly tourism recovers. Specifically, the revival of foreign tourism hinges on vaccine rollouts in 10 countries, including China, Japan, the US, and several European nations, as well as the progress of the Thai government’s Covid-19 vaccine programme.

“Other crucial factors are whether Thailand’s quarantine period is reduced, the clarity of vaccine passport policy, and if countries would allow their citizens to travel to Thailand.”

The Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration has announced that the mandatory quarantine period may be reduced for vaccinated arrivals from October. The proposal will go to the CCSA board, chaired by PM Prayut Chan-o-cha, on Monday.

Last year, Thailand welcomed just 6.7 foreign visitors, a year-on-year decline of over 83%. In January, the number of international tourists was 7,694, a massive year-on-year drop of 99.8%. The current mandatory quarantine of 14 days is widely seen as the most significant obstacle in the battle to revive the sector.

The Kasikorn Research Centre says the Kingdom’s GDP is expected to grow by 2.6% in 2021, primarily due to a recovery in exports, various economic stimulus measures, and Covid-19 containment measures being less severe than last year. However, the think-tank warns that should the number of foreign visitors not reach the expected 2 million, that growth forecast could drop.

SOURCE: Bangkok Post

Keep in contact with Thaiger by following our Facebook page.

Never miss out on future posts by following Thaiger.

16 Comments

16 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Patrick Nouvel

    Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at 10:24 am

    Stop to say year on year, from 25th March 2020 to 25 March 2021 probably less that 10.000 tourists, balance are only returnees !!! 6.7 Millions was only for 1st 3 months, far already from at least 10 Millions beg 2019 mostly due start of pandemia in the world + too high bath, immigrations hassles, growing competition from nearby countries.

  2. Avatar

    dave

    Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at 10:38 am

    the article is correct in stating that the most important obstacle to international tourism is the mandatory 14, now 15 day quarantine. Get rid of that, like many other countries are doing, and the international tourists, like me, will be arriving in Thailand, instead of traveling elsewhere.

  3. Avatar

    EdwardV

    Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at 11:49 am

    Notice they have once again revised downward the number of expected tourists for this year, from 3.5M to 2M. The expected GDP growth of 2.6% seems overly optimistic considering the first quarter (Oct 2020 to Jan 2021) was actually down about -4.2%.

  4. Avatar

    Rob Spencer

    Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at 2:59 pm

    By your wording, you claim more Americans visit Thailand than British or European…HAHAHAHAHAHA UTTER NONSENSE…More British & Europeans visit i would say at least 50/1…But of course if you would prefer Americans than us Europeans, we can always go elsewhere…

  5. Avatar

    luca

    Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at 3:46 pm

    Thailand like China has applied the virus elimination policy, this means that international tourism in Thailand will not return until all Thais are vaccinated and this will not happen until mid 2022.
    Neither the Chinese nor the Indians will be able to vaccinate their population of over one and a half billion people before two years, which means that when Thailand reopens to international tourism there will be no Chinese and Indians.
    The near future of the Thai tourism industry is dark.

  6. Avatar

    Toby Andrews

    Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at 4:24 pm

    I have noticed Thais unfortunately not very skilled at arithmetic. For instance when adding up our restaurant bill, they often arrive at a figure higher than the true price.
    Alas, I suppose their schooling is not of the best . . .

  7. Avatar

    Bvin

    Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at 5:17 pm

    Even after the jab, will Thai visa rules make travel there attractive? Thai visa paperwork and requirements are insane now that visa on arrival is no longer. Its confusing, has all kinds of strange requirements for letters from authorities, and is laced with fees and bank deposit requirements. Now that the lawyers and government bureaucrats can get a cut i don’t see visa stamp on arrival ever returning,

  8. Avatar

    Issan John

    Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at 7:28 pm

    Unfortunately, luca, the very clear reality is that according to K Anutin’s recent announcement Thailand has NOT “applied the virus elimination policy” and “international tourism in Thailand” WILL return well BEFORE “all Thais are vaccinated” with the worst of both worlds –

    – international tourists, albeit only a few, who will NOT have been quarantined for 14 days but only for 10, and a population where only 70% of health workers and the most vulnerable (plus politicians and MPs) will have been vaccinated, so possibly as few as 20% of the general population.

    … so very limited international tourism, but an increased risk of importing and spreading Covid-19, which if it happens the country will be unable to handle and treat, with an equally increased risk of lockdowns and a return to no international tourism while others who have held their nerve for longer will reap the reward while the Thai economy collapses.

  9. Avatar

    Uapo

    Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at 9:13 pm

    Tourism will return when people say it will return. People without money means people without good and healthy food, that means also people with weak immune system, that also means people die more and more, also mental health, families destroyed etc. Health is not just covid19, its way more than “protecting” your grandmom. There is no grandmoms id there is no business, business is same as health. Ring a bell?? Think more wide and look less tv.

  10. Avatar

    Toby Andrews

    Tuesday, March 9, 2021 at 11:12 pm

    The Thai do not seem to be vaccinating in comparison to other nations, which lead me to believe they are too incompetent to vaccinate, or wish to keep the quarantine rules and the profit they make from that.
    On reflection, I think they are too incompetent to vaccinate as fast as is possible.

  11. Avatar

    Johnnie Dee

    Wednesday, March 10, 2021 at 2:16 am

    I do recall many months ago one guy on here saying that Thais don’t rely on tourism well here’s showing you months down the line what I said is that Thais do need tourism and now it showing !!

  12. Avatar

    LondonAl

    Wednesday, March 10, 2021 at 2:19 am

    Good old Issan John, doom monger supreme, how about sparing a thought for the situation in Thailand right now, the Thai economy is already collapsing with hardly any cases, let alone deaths, the other countries can afford to wait becase they don’t have such a huge reliance on tourism, if Thailand does what you’re suggesting, ie all cower in the corner until the whole world is vaccinated, then places like Phuket are looking at economic armageddon.

  13. Avatar

    ELLE

    Wednesday, March 10, 2021 at 4:13 am

    EXPERIMENTAL INJECTION = SIDE EFFECT AND DEATH!!!

    GO AHEAD TAKE IT… WILL BE LESS YOU SHEEPLE WHO GO ALONG WITH THIS..

  14. Avatar

    Social Observer

    Wednesday, March 10, 2021 at 5:00 am

    “Economic think-tank says the future of tourism in Thailand hangs on vaccination.” Brilliant! My cat agrees.

  15. Avatar

    BangkokBen

    Wednesday, March 10, 2021 at 6:51 am

    Even after almost everyone in Thailand is vaccinated, the government will say that because of new Covid variants and the fact that no vaccine is 100% effective, they still cannot remove the quarantine requirement.

  16. Avatar

    Amy Sukwan

    Wednesday, March 10, 2021 at 9:59 am

    They needed a think tank to say this? How much are these “experts” getting paid? It’s been obvious for a while that Thailand bet everything on vaccine rollouts saving the day. It’s still based on the laughable assumption that millions of people are just pounding on Thailand s door desperate to get in. I’d say a lot of those folks who have been vaccinated and are itching to travel will go where their vaccinated status best serves them with no quarantine at all. A fair number of folks are unwilling or unable to get vaccinated, some are scared to travel regardless, some have no money to travel, some don’t trust Covid tests and the business risk of false positives, etc cetera. All of this will continue to add up to a very big bucket of folks not coming here. At least they revised the international arrivals number down to 2 million. I’m guessing it will come in under 1 mil…the first step to get out of the hole is to stop digging!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *



Read more headlines, reports & breaking news in Thailand. Or catch up on your Thailand news.

A seasoned writer, with a degree in Creative Writing. Over ten years' experience in producing blog and magazine articles, news reports and website content.

Coronavirus (Covid-19)

Cambodia threatens jail for Covid-19 quarantine violations

Avatar

Published

on

Cambodia threatens jail for Covid-19 quarantine violations | Thaiger
PHOTO: PM Hun Sen imposes harsh Covid-19 restrictions

In the face of expanding Covid-19 infections in Cambodia, Prime Minister Hun Sen has warned that violators of quarantine may face prison sentences, and government workers could be fired if they don’t get vaccines. More than 1,000 new Coronavirus cases were diagnosed in the last 2 days along, nearly 25% of the total cases since the pandemic began. The government has forbidden out-of-province travel and implemented evening curfews in the main city of Phnom Penh. They even shut down all the tourist attractions including the world-famous Angkor Wat temple complex.

Face masks are already mandatory now in Phnom Penh, with fines up to US $250 for anyone caught violating the order. But PM Hun Sen, himself having had a close brush with Covid-19 months ago, has imposed a 2-week quarantine and has made it clear that punishment for any rule-breakers will be harsh and swift. The government has already enacted a strict bill to curb the spread of Covid-19 in Cambodia, with prison terms of up to 20 years for serious violators. In an address broadcast on state-run television, he promised a “quick trial’.

“People who break Covid measures must be sentenced, I accept being called a dictator, but I will also be admired for protecting my people’s lives.”

Cambodia began Covid-19 vaccination in February, with a million citizens already receiving at least their first of two injections. In a country of 16 million, that 6% is a healthy start for their vaccination programme. The Prime Minister also declared vaccination mandatory for all state officials and members of the military. He asserted that their job was on the line if they failed to comply.

Cambodia had done well with low Covid-19 infection numbers during the pandemic, but in February, the virus tore through the Chinese ex-pat community, with the outbreak causing a surge in infections proliferating across the country. The situation is worsening now, as hospitals in Phnom Penh are running out of beds and the government is converting large halls and local schools into medical centres for mildly afflicted patients.

SOURCE: Bangkok Post

Keep in contact with Thaiger by following our Facebook page.

Never miss out on future posts by following Thaiger.

Continue Reading

Coronavirus (Covid-19)

Nightlife plays major role in Covid-19 third wave

Avatar

Published

on

Nightlife plays major role in Covid-19 third wave | Thaiger
FILE PHOTO: Krystal Club Thonglor25 is one of many high-end clubs where Covid-19 spread

The current surge in Covid-19 infections now looks to be spread in large part by Thailand’s colourful nightlife, with more than 500 people contracting the more contagious UK variant (B117) of the Coronavirus. The government responded by closing all bars and entertainment venues in 41 provinces, but it may be too late to prevent a third wave of the pandemic. Many people now are critical, pointing to the first and second wave as harbingers of how the party nightlife can so easily transmit Covid-19.

At the beginning of the pandemic, partiers in Bangkok’s Thong Lor area began testing positive for Covid-19 last March. The Public Health Ministry instructed everyone to follow safety measures to prevent a big outbreak. The area is well known to be a hotspot for Bangkok’s wealthy elite and powerful with its multitude of high-end luxury clubs and bars.

A normal night has thousands of people roaming the streets into the late hours of the evening. But after infections started spreading, all nightlife was closed until July when Thailand overall had gained some control and contained the Coronavirus more successfully than most countries. In fact, it would be months before any new infections were diagnosed in the area.

While it’s commonly known that the next wave of Covid-19 in Thailand started mainly from migrant workers and low wage market workers, even the second round of infections was proliferated by people enjoying the nightlife around Thailand. There was a case of a woman in the North who went to several bars before knowing that she had contracted the virus in January, and, when the details of her bar-hopping were released, many customers of a bar she attended in Chiang Mai had already contracted Covid-19 as well. Meanwhile, in Bangkok, Techin “DJ Matoom” Ploypetch held a lavish all-night party in a luxury hotel in January. Facing criminal charges for violating Covid-19 restrictions, he has recovered from the virus himself but the party became a spreader event. None of these nightlife outbreaks stopped people from pouring back into the club scene as soon as it reopened in February.

Now Thailand is facing a massive shutdown with the threat of a third wave of Covid-19 inescapable. One major factor in the rapidly spreading infections is trendy evening entertainment venues around Bangkok, Phuket, and Pattaya among other areas. A 35-year-old man who contracted Covid-19 reported he had been partying in Thong Lor the month before. Testing clubgoers from bars and entertainment venues in the area revealed an outbreak of Covid-19 infections.

Krystal Club Thonglor25 gained attention as powerful politicians and the wealthy elite that frequent the club so often it’s nicknamed “Government House 2”. 1/3 of Thailand’s cabinet ministers are currently self-isolating and it was rumoured that the Transport Minister had gotten C0vid-19 from visiting the infamous Krystal Club, though rumours were later dispelled.

But growing anger has emerged towards the upscale party-going set, with the hashtag #thonglorpub trending across social media since Wednesday, and many people complaining as the country closes down entertainment venues for the next two weeks and maybe facing further lockdown procedures.

The bar and club scene is a hotspot for Covid clusters since social distancing and mask-wearing are rarely enforced, in poorly ventilated rooms with throngs of tightly packed people. A list has emerged of high society hot spots where anyone in attendance in the past few weeks is being requested to get Covid-19 tests right away after customers at each has tested positive for covid.

  • Krystal Club Thonglor25
  • Bar Bar Bar,
  • Ekamai Beer House,
  • Emerald Thonglor13
  • Dirty Bar
  • Bottoms up Thonglor
  • AINU Hokkaido lzakaya & Bar
  • the Cassette Music Bar Ekamai
  • 63 Music House Ekamai

SOURCE: Thai PBS World

Keep in contact with Thaiger by following our Facebook page.

Never miss out on future posts by following Thaiger.

Continue Reading

Coronavirus (Covid-19)

Big Covid-19 numbers today: 789 new infections, 1 death

Avatar

Published

on

Big Covid-19 numbers today: 789 new infections, 1 death | Thaiger
FILE PHOTO: A surge in new infections as people are tested following nightlife clusters.

789 new Covid-19 infections and 1 death were reported today by the CCSA. The death, a 68 year old Thai man from Nakhon Pathom, had died April 4 but was yesterday confirmed as dying from complications from Coronavirus. Only 8 infections were international arrivals, with 522 local infections and 259 diagnosed today through contact tracing.

The international infections were Thai and foreigners and included 3 arriving from Russia and 1 each from the US, UK, Oman, India, and Canada. 33 former patients are now fully recovered from the virus and discharged in the past 24 hours.

Earlier today 17 new infections were identified in Phuket and will go into tomorrow’s official national count. This brings the island’s total new infections this week to 43, almost all of them a result of an influx of Bangkok party-goers to events last weekend.

This new jump in Covid-19 brings the total infections in Thailand to 31,658 – c28,463 local cases and 3,195 internationally imported cases, 17,000+ of those cases were diagnosed from proactive testing. 28,161 have been released as ‘recovered’ with 2,645 people currently undergoing treatment and 97 total deaths.

Thailand is now 113th on the list of most cases globally, with the USA’s 31.8 million infections still more than the next 3 countries combined – Brazil with 13.37 million, India with 13.2 million, and France with 4.98 million. Russia rounds out the top 5 with 4.62 million infections.

The global total is up almost 800,000 to 135.29 million cases with 23.3 million active cases, just over 100,000 of which are considered in critical condition. 108,86 million have recovered from the virus, and 2.92 million have died, including 13,268 today.

Big Covid-19 numbers today: 789 new infections, 1 death | News by Thaiger

SOURCE: The Nation Thailand

Keep in contact with Thaiger by following our Facebook page.

Never miss out on future posts by following Thaiger.

Continue Reading
Tourism officials slash Songkran travel expectations by half | Thaiger
Chiang Mai16 hours ago

Tourism officials slash Songkran travel expectations by half

Thailand News Today | Bangkok nightspot Covid clusters, Tesco/CP merger goes to court | April 5 | Thaiger
Thailand6 days ago

Thailand News Today | Bangkok nightspot Covid clusters, Tesco/CP merger goes to court | April 5

Thai Airways cuts another 4,250 staff, offering them early retirement | Thaiger
Transport18 hours ago

Thai Airways cuts another 4,250 staff, offering them early retirement

10 rebel groups in Myanmar throw their support behind anti-coup protesters | VIDEO | Thaiger
Myanmar7 days ago

10 rebel groups in Myanmar throw their support behind anti-coup protesters | VIDEO

Firefighters’ bodies retrieved, 100,000 baht to families | Thaiger
Hot News6 days ago

Firefighters’ bodies retrieved, 100,000 baht to families

Immigration police arrest Frenchman on drug charges, 3 other foreigners for overstay | Thaiger
Crime3 days ago

Immigration police arrest Frenchman on drug charges, 3 other foreigners for overstay

Weekend party event in Phuket reports positive Covid attendee | Thaiger
Events5 days ago

Weekend party event in Phuket reports positive Covid attendee

Labour union angry over changes to Thai Airways staff contracts under rehab plan | Thaiger
Business5 days ago

Labour union angry over changes to Thai Airways staff contracts under rehab plan

Nightlife shut down in 3 Bangkok districts following rise in Covid numbers | Thaiger
Coronavirus (Covid-19)5 days ago

Nightlife shut down in 3 Bangkok districts following rise in Covid numbers

Police chief orders staff to work from home after 42 officers test positive | Thaiger
Coronavirus (Covid-19)2 days ago

Police chief orders staff to work from home after 42 officers test positive

Some Bangkok international schools close following rise of Covid-19 cases in the area | Thaiger
Coronavirus (Covid-19)6 days ago

Some Bangkok international schools close following rise of Covid-19 cases in the area

Thailand allows entry to 11 groups of travellers, cuts quarantine down for those vaccinated | Thaiger
Thailand6 days ago

Thailand allows entry to 11 groups of travellers, cuts quarantine down for those vaccinated

Bangkok prepares to open field hospital as officials warn of a rapid rise in infections | Thaiger
Coronavirus (Covid-19)3 days ago

Bangkok prepares to open field hospital as officials warn of a rapid rise in infections

Thai Health Minister pictured without mask, sitting next to infected Transport Minister | Thaiger
Coronavirus (Covid-19)3 days ago

Thai Health Minister pictured without mask, sitting next to infected Transport Minister

CCSA Update: 194 new Covid-19 cases, outbreak at Narathiwat prison | Thaiger
Coronavirus (Covid-19)6 days ago

CCSA Update: 194 new Covid-19 cases, outbreak at Narathiwat prison

Thailand News Today | Thai Airways in rehab, All go for Songkran | March 4 | Thaiger
Thailand1 month ago

Thailand News Today | Thai Airways in rehab, All go for Songkran | March 4

Phuket’s nightlife. Yes, bars and clubs are still open | VIDEO | Thaiger
Tourism1 month ago

Phuket’s nightlife. Yes, bars and clubs are still open | VIDEO

Thailand News Today | Covid passport talks, Thai Airways heads to court | March 2 | Thaiger
Phuket1 month ago

Thailand News Today | Covid passport talks, Thai Airways heads to court | March 2

Phuket Thai food treats you need to try | VIDEO | Thaiger
Tourism2 months ago

Phuket Thai food treats you need to try | VIDEO

Thailand News Today | Bars, pubs and restaurants ‘sort of’ back to normal | Feb 23 | Thaiger
Thailand2 months ago

Thailand News Today | Bars, pubs and restaurants ‘sort of’ back to normal | Feb 23

In search of Cat & Dog Cafés in Phuket Town | VIDEO | Thaiger
Tourism2 months ago

In search of Cat & Dog Cafés in Phuket Town | VIDEO

Thailand News Today | Gambling crackdown, Seafood market to reopen, Vlogger challenge | Jan 21 | Thaiger
Thailand3 months ago

Thailand News Today | Gambling crackdown, Seafood market to reopen, Vlogger challenge | Jan 21

Thailand News Today | Covid testing for visas, Business impact, Vaccine approval | January 19 | Thaiger
Thailand3 months ago

Thailand News Today | Covid testing for visas, Business impact, Vaccine approval | January 19

Thailand News Today | Weekend Bangkok bombs, Thailand fires, Covid update | January 18 | Thaiger
Thailand3 months ago

Thailand News Today | Weekend Bangkok bombs, Thailand fires, Covid update | January 18

Thailand News Today | Stray car on runway, Indonesian quake, 300 baht tourist fee | January 15 | Thaiger
Thailand3 months ago

Thailand News Today | Stray car on runway, Indonesian quake, 300 baht tourist fee | January 15

Thailand News Today | Governor off respirator, sex-trafficking arrest, condo prices falling | January 14 | Thaiger
Thailand3 months ago

Thailand News Today | Governor off respirator, sex-trafficking arrest, condo prices falling | January 14

Thailand News Today | Chinese vaccine, Thailand ‘drug hub’, Covid update | January 13 | Thaiger
Thailand3 months ago

Thailand News Today | Chinese vaccine, Thailand ‘drug hub’, Covid update | January 13

Thailand News Today | Bangkok may ease restrictions, Phuket bar curfew, Vaccine roll out | January 12 | Thaiger
Thailand3 months ago

Thailand News Today | Bangkok may ease restrictions, Phuket bar curfew, Vaccine roll out | January 12

Thailand News Today | Covid latest, Cockfights closed down, Bryde’s Whale beached | January 11 | Thaiger
Thailand3 months ago

Thailand News Today | Covid latest, Cockfights closed down, Bryde’s Whale beached | January 11

Thailand News Today | Southern floods, Face mask fines, Thai Air Asia woes | January 8 | Thaiger
Thailand3 months ago

Thailand News Today | Southern floods, Face mask fines, Thai Air Asia woes | January 8

Follow Thaiger by email:

Trending