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Majority of Thais think economy will get worse – NIDA Poll




A recent poll has indicated that a majority of Thai respondents think that the economy will get worse this year, along with a continued unrest surrounding the political landscape.

The survey by the National Institute of Development Administration was conducted December 24-25 on 1,326 people, aged 18 and over of various levels of education and occupations nationwide by random sampling over the phone, with a reliability percentage of 97%.

About 42% believe that the political situation in 2021 would continue to be just as chaotic as before, with about 35% believing it would worsen and around 15% believing it would get better.

Just over half of the respondents, around 54% say Thailand’s current PM would remain in power, with around 13% believing that there will be some cabinet reshuffles. Around only 8% believed parliament would be dissolved and a new election called, with almost the same amount believing that the current PM would resign. Only 2% believed PM Prayut would lose his post in a political case with with an even lower percentage, about 1.7% believing a coup would occur.

43% believed the People’s Group would continue to hold anti-government demonstrations, however, 23% thought the group would become weaker. About 14% believed it would be exhausted to an end. Only a mere 11% said it would be able to raise the demonstrations to a higher level and 9% had no comment or were not interested.

Around 52% responded that they believed the economy would get worse with 32% believing it would remain unchanged. 15% say the economy would improve.

After the recent spike in Covid cases, or a 2nd wave, about 48% believe the pandemic would get more serious, with around 29% saying the virus would become less contagious. And, only about 22% believe the pandemic levels would stay the same.

Such a poll is indicative of the nationwide sentiment surrounding the new outbreak as more and more provinces are seeing local infections on the rise.

SOURCE: Bangkok Post


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  1. Avatar


    Sunday, January 3, 2021 at 12:37 pm

    Another meaningless poll apparently about what some people think will happen

  2. Avatar

    Issan John

    Sunday, January 3, 2021 at 2:20 pm

    Wow. Who’d have guessed any of that?

  3. Avatar

    Mike Frenchie

    Sunday, January 3, 2021 at 4:01 pm

    It does not take a Ph.D. in economics to foresee that the coming three months lockdown and the loss of the good Q1-2020 (in the statistics) will soon affect the 2021 GDP… Be ready to dive lower.

    • Avatar


      Monday, January 4, 2021 at 12:34 pm

      According to poverty John only “experts” can know anything.

      Were dumb plebs who cannot think for ourselves

  4. Avatar

    Toby Andrews

    Sunday, January 3, 2021 at 4:28 pm

    A poll of 1326 is not enough to take seriously.

    • The Thaiger

      The Thaiger

      Sunday, January 3, 2021 at 4:56 pm

      Standard poll sample.

      • Avatar

        Albert Zweistein

        Monday, January 4, 2021 at 3:24 am

        Standard THAI poll sample.

  5. Avatar

    Toby Andrews

    Monday, January 4, 2021 at 10:31 am

    Still, it seems too small a sample to me.

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