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No national lockdown, more than 25 provinces “at risk” of Covid-19

Caitlin Ashworth

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No national lockdown, more than 25 provinces “at risk” of Covid-19 | The Thaiger
PHOTO: Siamrath
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Despite a record high in Covid-19 cases, the Thai government has declared no national lockdown. Provinces are now classified on a colour-scale depending on the level of risk for Covid-19.

The vast majority of cases are concentrated in Samut Sakhon around a seafood market in Mahachai, a major fishing hub in Thailand. In earlier reports, health officials said 90% of the cases are asymptomatic. More than 1,000 cases have been reported in Samut Sakhon, largely affecting a migrant community in the area.

Red (high risk for Covid-19): Samut Sakhon

Orange (medium risk for Covid-19): Bangkok, Samut Songkram, Ratchaburi and Nakhon Pathom

Yellow (low risk for Covid-19): Saraburi, Samut Prakan, Suphan Buri, Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani, Uttaradit, Chachoengsao, Kamphaeng Phet, Phetchabun, Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya, Phuket, Phetchaburi, Nakhon Ratchasima, Prachinburi, Krabi, Khon Kaen, Chainat, Udon Thani, Phichit, Nakhon Si Thammarat, Surat Thani, Prachuap Khiri Khan, Chaiyaphum, Nakhon Sawan, Ang Thong

Provinces that have zero Covid-19 infections are classified as green.

No national lockdown, more than 25 provinces

Active Covid-19 cases in Thailand as of December 24, according to Worldometers.

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24 Comments

24 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Mister Stretch

    Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 1:20 pm

    It’s not easy being green…but nice.

  2. Avatar

    Jitendra Bahubali

    Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 1:57 pm

    greeen Provinces means there is either no testing or very low testing. If they test the entire population of Thailand the cases will be 0.2% of total tests.

    • The Thaiger

      The Thaiger

      Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 4:40 pm

      Pure speculative play on maths.

      • Avatar

        indis77

        Thursday, December 31, 2020 at 7:51 pm

        As is testing. Your entire reporting regime is pure speculation.

  3. Avatar

    Maag

    Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 2:11 pm

    Even a lot positive coved tested….how many dead : ZERO !
    So no big deal !

    • Avatar

      Graham White

      Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 2:42 pm

      Yesterday they gave figures for Thai only, not including migrants. Today, up to now, no figures. Why? Must be bad. If it was good they would say.

  4. Avatar

    Ryan

    Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 3:32 pm

    I had to cancel my holiday yesterday because of lockdown fear in the media. Now its open and my holiday is ruined. Thanks a lot!

    • The Thaiger

      The Thaiger

      Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 4:37 pm

      What, because we reported a story and did our job?

    • Avatar

      Dreqo

      Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 6:18 pm

      Well, that’s your bad.

      • Avatar

        Ryan

        Friday, December 25, 2020 at 2:02 pm

        Been living here for 15 years. This “virus” has a 99.9% survival rate. A few people gets the flu and the Government threatens to shut provinces down. Im done. Leaving in January. Booked a flight yesterday. Feeling very good. Good luck to all of you staying put in the so called “land of smiles”. Keep fooling yourself thinking that this is the place to be. Its not been like that in decades. Good luck.

        • The Thaiger

          The Thaiger

          Saturday, December 26, 2020 at 9:09 am

          “This “virus” has a 99.9% survival rate.” That is incorrect.

          • Avatar

            preesy chepuce

            Monday, December 28, 2020 at 10:38 pm

            In general less than 0.1% die of the virus, and that is self-evident, stop peddling fake news.

    • Avatar

      Issan John

      Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 8:32 pm

      You “had to”? On whose orders? The wife’s?

  5. Avatar

    John Brown

    Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 4:55 pm

    This is an unfortunate and dangerous misuse of the epidemic color classification system. Used correctly, Green Zones are those that have not had any local transmission within the past 14 days *and* do not share an unrestricted border with any zone that has had a single one.

    Given that there are no travel restrictions in place between provinces, then ALL PROVINCES are currently red zones, and will remain so until 14 days have passed and adequate testing (along with clinical diagnoses and investigations) has shown that no local transmissions have occurred. A reduction in testing during this period is an automatic disqualification and clock reset.

    The kind of color fudging done here helps no one, and harms our approximately 70-75 million residents.

    • Avatar

      Dreqo

      Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 6:16 pm

      Sorry you didn’t get your way. 🤣

      • Avatar

        John Brown

        Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 7:02 pm

        Yes, there is unfortunately a significant chance you will be sorry about the consequences of public health policy not following the path of science and reason, whether you live in Thailand or merely wish to be a visitor. I do wish it weren’t so. 🙁

        • Avatar

          Issan John

          Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 8:44 pm

          To be fair, Thailand’s “public health policy” is far more drivn by “science” than the policies in the West, which is why it’s worked so much better.

          If you’d had your way, you’d have apparently had Thailand completely locked down for the last nine months with no restaurants, bars, sports stadiums, and other facilities open at all. a curfew, and borders closed to any movement at all, all baseed on your supposed insider knowledge.

          Sorry, but that would have been completely unjustifiable and absurd.

          • Avatar

            John Brown

            Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 9:40 pm

            Are the travel restrictions multilateral or bilateral? And are they either comprehensive or principled, rather than arbitrary? To illustrate, are there any zones with ongoing local transmission that do not have travel restrictions to a zone without any ongoing local transmission?

            The purpose of a two-axis zoning system – geographical bounds and risk levels – is to establish metrics by which decisions, and not just observations, can be systematically made about the interactions of discrete elements of a system, rather than working around a policy of judgment calls. This allows policy-makers (whether they are government officials or a group of neighbours) to make predictions, observe results, and draw robust inferences.

            Different states or communities may implement the specifics of color zoning differently, but within strong parameters; there is no scientific color zoning system aimed at preventing the spread of disease that that does not implement travel restrictions between a red zone and somewhere else. Any implementation is ultimately goal-oriented.

            Apologies for being presumptuous about the shared and/or common academic knowledge – I was referring to the canonical “Color Zone Pandemic Response” (Shen & Bar-Yam 2020), which draws from previous work done during Ebola, and the primary developments therefrom. I am of course aware that state-level implementations borrowing the same language have differed.

          • Avatar

            John Brown

            Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 9:56 pm

            I think we might have different standards for what we consider scientific, John. It wouldn’t have occurred to me to compare with European or American policies at all. More like Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan.

            Are you feeling all right today? Some of your responses earlier (to other commenters) have seemed a little… belligerent. Lacked the levity I’ve seen from you often.

            You are clearly presuming a lot, and incorrectly, about what public health policies I support, both in general and with my specific knowledge of both the medical and epidemiological situations here (incomplete as they are, they do contain details not available to those who aren’t consultants to those situations and are therefore not privy). Would you like to know more about what I really think? Or would you rather continue to imagine, and so straw-man, my positions for me? Honest question. Will be genuine and respectful either way. I’m not here to argue, but to try and help, and if you do not think that the input is helpful, I will take that into consideration in future comments and replies.

          • Avatar

            preesy chepuce

            Monday, December 28, 2020 at 10:43 pm

            That’s such bogus claptrap. There’s insufficient credible evidence to make any claims about the efficacy of Thailand’s response over that of “the West” (which, btw, is several quite different countries with quite different policies), how you can spout such unsubstantiated drivel over and over again is hard to understand. The unscientific policies kicking around look set to make the cure cause more casualties than the disease at the rate they’re going. <0.1% die of this bug, in all but the most statistically anomolous microstates.

        • Avatar

          Issan John

          Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 10:45 pm

          Sorry, John B, but I have absolutely no idea what point you’re trying to make with your comments of 9.40 and 9.56 PM beyond that I’m “clearly presuming a lot, and incorrectly, about what public health policies I support”.

          You seem to have had a Google Translate vaccination.

          If you haven’t made comments making it pretty clear that “you’d have apparently had Thailand completely locked down for the last nine months with no restaurants, bars, sports stadiums, and other facilities open at all, a curfew, and borders closed to any movement at all, all based on your supposed insider knowledge” then someone must have hacked your e-mail / IP address, since that’s exactly what “John Brown” has commented. Several times.

          • Avatar

            John Brown

            Friday, December 25, 2020 at 1:39 am

            In the comment at 9.40, I attempted to explain to you how color zoning for pandemic response works. Perhaps I can clear up some confusion by addressing your comparison to the UK’s use of a color-coded *alert system*, which is different from color *zoning*. A color-coded alert system used in a single locality only has one axis, which is an axis that describes risk (low risk high risk). A color zoning system is one that adds a second dimension describing relative locations (which are most often geographical bounds but not always). What happens when we add the second dimension is we get a way to think about how different zones – like provinces, or districts, or neighborhoods, etc – within the same system affect each other, and how we can use those effects to quickly draw down risks from high to low and bring local epidemics to an end. The UK’s use of colors points at *risk level* in a single zone; Thailand’s use of colors as seen in this article above points at *multiple zones* of relative risk levels. Do you see the difference? My point was that Thailand is using color zoning non-scientifically, without understanding the deeper purpose of delineating geographic zones. Used correctly, zones are meant to effectively and systematically contain the spread of infectious disease from one zone to another and to draw down the level of risk zone by zone, not just to describe how much risk exists. Does that help? See the pandemic paper I cited upon your request for a more full understanding.

            In my comment at 9.56, I responded to the two basic points you made in your comment at 8.44:

            (1) your objection to my description of Thailand’s public health policy as divergent from the path of science and reason, where you made the comparison to the policies in Western countries, implying that the reason I thought Thailand’s approach is not scientific is because I was doing the same. I pointed out that I hadn’t even considered that the European and American approaches would be be considered remotely scientific, stated that I was making no such comparison, and gave you a few examples of other countries that could be considered scientific in their approaches, and were therefore worth the comparison;

            (2) your assertion, without evidence, that I think Thailand should have been locked down and and curfewed and closed for business for the past nine months, which took me quite by surprise. Now, I acknowledge that it is possible someone else has posted under “John Brown” and I have not noticed; I have been far too busy to read all the articles, let alone all the comments. Perhaps you could let me know where you thought I either said or implied that I thought Thailand should have been under lockdown for the past nine months? This idea is so absurd that it has never even crossed my mind, so I wonder how it is that you have imagined it, or what it was that someone else pretending to be me could have written. Please do point it out, if you are able, unless you wish to skip over explaining how you came to be thus misinformed about my opinion so that we may head straight to the substance of what the persons who are talking to each other actually do think, and hopefully a more directly productive conversation can ensue on the topic.

            What do you think? I have a slight preference for the latter because it saves time, but am willing to do the former because there is often long-term value in clearing up misunderstandings by discovering how they came to be.

    • Avatar

      Issan John

      Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 8:37 pm

      Actually, John B, there ARE some travel restrictions in place.

      … and it’s hardly a “misuse” of a system, as there is no “correct” way of using colours as there’s no set standard – the UK, for example, has a five colour system which has no connection with the one you’re citing at all.

      • Avatar

        John Brown

        Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 10:53 pm

        I accidentally sent my reply to this comment to your other, later, comment up-thread.

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Caitlin Ashworth is a writer from the United States who has lived in Thailand since 2018. She graduated from the University of South Florida St. Petersburg with a bachelor’s degree in journalism and media studies in 2016. She was a reporter for the Daily Hampshire Gazette In Massachusetts. She also interned at the Richmond Times-Dispatch in Virginia and Sarasota Herald-Tribune in Florida.

Thailand

Thailand’s PM says he won’t let Thais become vaccine “guinea pigs”

The Thaiger

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Thailand&#8217;s PM says he won&#8217;t let Thais become vaccine &#8220;guinea pigs&#8221; | The Thaiger

Thailand’s PM is saying he won’t let Thai people become vaccine “guinea pigs” in his Facebook post today as he points to reports of serious negative side effects that some people have suffered after getting jabbed with the Covid-19 vaccine. Instead, PM Prayut Chan-o-cha says he will wait for more information from the experts about whether such side effects were attributed to the vaccine solely, or other factors.

“For Thai people, I decided not to take the risk and will not rush to inoculate with vaccines which have not been fully tested and will not let Thai people become guinea pigs.”

He says the National Vaccine Committee will advise the government and closely supervise the use of Covid-19 vaccines in the country once they are rolled out. As the vaccines are not yet available, he reiterated the importance of taking precautions such as wearing face masks when leaving home, practising social distancing and abstaining from gatherings, particularly political ones.

The government has reported 374 new cases of Covid-19 in the kingdom today, with all but 10 being locally-transmitted. Now, the total has risen to 12,000 cases since the pandemic began.

A government spokesman is also saying that PM Prayut is worried about people’s health as the weather has taken a turn for the cold. He also affirmed the importance of imposing measures under the Emergency Decree and Thailand’s Communicable Disease Act in order to help curb the recent Covid second wave. He is also reminding the public to download the Thai Chana and Mor Chana apps.

Thailand has ordered 60 million doses of Covid-19 vaccines from a variety of sources, with the first shipment of 200,000 doses to arrive in February. Those vaccines are from China’s Sinovac Biotech. In March, another 800,000 doses are scheduled to arrive and another million by April.

The government has also pre-ordered 26 million doses of the Covid-19 vaccine from AstraZeneca, using vaccine technology transfer to allow local production by Thailand’s local company, Siam Bio Science.

SOURCE: Thai PBS World

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Thailand

374 new cases today – Covid update

The Thaiger

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374 new cases today &#8211; Covid update | The Thaiger

New case numbers have jumped alarmingly again today, even though the growth curve was starting to flatten a bit this week. Thailand is reporting 374 new cases of Covid-19today over the past 24 hours, bringing the total to over 12,000 infections since the pandemic began. Only 10 of those cases were non-local infections as they were found in state quarantine. 43 cases were found in the public and 321 cases were found within the migrant worker areas. 10 cases were found in Bangkok, and 24 cases were found in Samut Sakhon, where the initial cluster that kicked off the second wave began.

61 provinces are now reporting Covid cases with Patthalung province being the latest. Dr. Thaweesin Visanuyothin, from the CCSA, says the situation in surrounding countries is also concerning as he fears they may have a “knock-on” effect.

Samut Sakhon, Rayong, and Chon Buri provinces are still under almost full lockdowns due to the amount of cases found in migrant workers and from people frequenting illegal gambling dens. Thaweesin says entertainment venues are exposing the country to risks, as they are still open past curfew hours. He is urging the public to cooperate with the government in order to help curb further transmissions of the virus.

PM Prayut is also requesting people to stop holding public gatherings, (code for anti-government protests), in order to help prevent the spread of the virus. A spokesman says Prayut is “concerned” for the public’s health after recent weather has seen a drop in temperatures, only adding to the worries of contracting the coronavirus. Prayut has also asked the public to be careful when trying to stay warm, as starting bonfires could be dangerous.

The cold pass coming from China is expected to blanket Thailand starting today and lasting through January 19, causing a drop in temperatures of up to 8 degrees Celsius in northern areas.

The government spokesman also reiterated the need for the emergency decree to be enforced as well as the measures under Thailand’s Communicable Disease Act in order to help contain the virus. For their part, protest spokespersons have said they are delaying any new protests for the time being.

SOURCE: Thai Enquirer

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Coronavirus (Covid-19)

Thailand threw a tourism party. No one arrived.

The Thaiger

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Thailand threw a tourism party. No one arrived. | The Thaiger

OPINION

The Thai Government, flushed with the success of their containment of Covid-19, decided to market the Land of Smiles to the world as the safe place to travel. With the annual wet season starting to weaken the tourists would flock back to the S E Asian country that had such remarkable success containing, then almost eradicating, itself of the coronavirus.

They floated the Phuket Model – a chance to visit Phuket and do your mandatory quarantine in a luxury hotel with walks along the almost deserted beaches. But Phuket’s locals didn’t like that idea. It was floated again just before the annual Vegetarian Festival on the island, because piercing yourself with sharp objects and wandering around the streets in big groups isn’t dangerous, but a few foreign tourists in hotel quarantine is.

Then they came up with the STV – the tourist visa which would have the world’s eager travellers packing their sun cream for up to 270 days of Thai tourism.

There were promises of plane loads of tourists and even published flights and carriers. A few flights arrived, most didn’t.

In fact, since the start of the STV, the Special Tourist Visa, with its long list of restrictions and requirements, was floated, along with a re-vamped Tourist Visa, less than 400 people have arrived per month, on average, since the end of October. In the October and November of the year before more than 3 million people arrived in Thailand. Even the government’s limit of 1,200 new tourist arrivals per month was even slightly tested.

The government had bought all the streamers and a pretty new dress for the party but no one came.

For the Army generals and public servants who ran the country it was a devastating loss of face. But they had other things to worry about at the time as the Thai youth were revolting, literally. Anti-government protests, whilst modest in size, were inconveniently demanding democracy at the same time as the government was trying to figure out how to attract tourists. They were also targeting, for the first time, the country’s revered monarchy and the man who currently sits on the Thai throne.

Suddently it was high season, the annual onslaught of tourists from the end of November, but popular spots like Phuket, Samui, Krabi, all the other islands, even Chiang Mai, just remained mostly devoid of tourists.

Meanwhile the STV wallowed in its own failure – another failed response to the reboot of Thai tourism.

What went wrong?

Where was the much-anticipated pent-up demand and people banging on the doors of the world’s Thai embassies?

It was the European winter and the ‘snowbirds’ would surely be back to soak in some Thai sun rays. But no.

The first problem was there wasn’t much for them to come back to. They would have the beaches of the islands all to themselves, they wouldn’t have to wait in line for anything, the domestic airlines were still selling low fares to travel anywhere around the country.

But otherwise there wasn’t a lot for them to do. The tourism magnets were a shadow of their former selves. Walking Street, Bangla Road, tours and tour boats, all the tourist-strip restaurants. The buzz of the crowds was gone and more than 90% of the tourist-related business had closed up.

Their staff, their families, their bank loans, their stock and investments – all on hold and forced to find some other means to make ends meet. 931 of some of the larger official tourism operators have now gone out of business, according to Bloomberg News. There would be thousands more of the smaller family operations that have also been swept aside by the Thai government’s responses to the world pandemic.

The industry players wanted action, changes and some sort of stimulus to bring back the tourists. For a country that relied on up to 20% for its GDP, getting the tourists and travellers back was THE only thing on their mind. 2019’s tourism revenue of US$60 billion had vanished from their, and their employee’s, pockets.

But the government wouldn’t relax the quarantine rules and maintained the restrictions and paperwork that has turned off even the keenest Thai-ravellers.

An outbreak of clusters to the south of Bangkok and the nearby eastern coastal provinces since December 20 hasn’t helped. In less than a month Thailand’s number of Covid-19 infections more than doubled. Initially the latest outbreak was tracked down to the illegal import of Burmese migrant workers by greedy seafood businesses wanting cheap labour. Then it spread to eastern provinces – Rayong, Chan Buri, Trat and Chanthaburi – through illegal gambling dens. In both cases the practices were things the local officials turned a blind eye to. The use of cheap, illegal migrant labour and illegal gambling were both popular pursuits but ‘underground’. It was a rude awakening for Thai officials that, this time, the enemy was within.

Street after street in Pattaya is deserted, shops shuttered. Parts of Phuket’s Patong are a ghost town. The island’s ubiquitous tuk tuks, taxis and tourist vans have vanished (where?!). Most of Bangkok is ‘sort of’ back to normal but there are few tourists topping up the retail till or booking rooms in the tens of thousands of hotels. Average occupancy rates, even for the brave hotels that have re-opened their doors, has been less than 30% – bottomline, they’re losing money.

On the upside, if you are living in Thailand, the plane fares remain cheap, hotels have slashed their prices and, for the first time, many renters will consider a discount. The Thai government has been active in stimulating the domestic tourism but apart from circulating the local currency, the country’s tourism industry remains on-hold until the pandemic passes. And that, as we’ve seen, won’t be any time soon.

The world’s travellers, now a much smaller groups than the masses that fuelled the world’s aviation industry in the past few decades, are not heading to Thailand to front up to a 14 day quarantine. They’re going to the Maldives and Costa Rica, and a handful of other resorts who have thrown caution to the wind – some with greater success than others. Just about every survey indicates that tourists, even business travellers, are not willing to stare down 14 days couped up in a 20-30 square metre hotel room. For many of the hotels that rushed to be registered as ASQ (Alternative State Quarantine) facilities, many have dropped out, some of them are now closed.

The stakes are now really high for Thailand and its tourism industry. The government, despite demands, is refusing to reduce the quarantine time or lessen the long list of restrictions and paperwork. The country has now lost it’s glossy veneer as the ‘safe country to visit’ and the annual high season will be coming to a close in a month or so.

Chinese New Year and the annual flood of Chinese visitors to Thailand? Won’t be happening in 2021, the Chinese year of the Ox.

The other ‘elephant in the room’ was the high value of the Thai baht against the currencies of some of the traditional feeder markets. Whilst the Thai baht has been relatively steadfast, many of these currencies have dropped in value against the THB. The perception was that Thailand as becoming too expensive to travel. But 2019 was still the biggest year for tourism on record, despite this often-wheeled out prediction of a tourism apocalypse.

The only hope on the horizon is the vaccine, or vaccines. The early global roll out is just that, early. It will take 6 – 12 months to see if the hard work of the world’s medical and scientific community will be the great saviour.Certainly, a risk-averse Thailand will be limiting any tourism in the immediate future to vaccinated customers. only, and (as stated policy) they will still have to do the 14 day mandatory quarantine, at least in the short-to medium term. Same with the world’s airlines. So Thailand’s tourism woes, especially in the hotspots – Pattaya, Phuket, the islands, Chiang Mai and Bangkok – will reverberate throughout 2021 as well.

Thailand’s economy contracted 6% in 2020 but some economists are predicting a positive turn-around to a 3.5 – 4.5% improvement in 2021. Even the ever-optimistic Thai Tourism and Sports Minister, Phiphat Ratchakitprakarn, says that there will be 10 million arrivals in 2021. The actual numbers, even in the best of circumstances, will fall well below that prediction. Exactly where the tourists would come from, under the current circumstances and a global depression, is difficult to imagine.

In 2020 the buzz word in the tourism industry was ‘closure’. In 2021 it will be ‘management’.

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