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Europe is warned of rising Covid-19 rates as it enters the autumn season – WHO

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“We are by no means out of the woods” – WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus.

The World Health Organisation is warning that Europe will face a rising death toll from Covid-19 during the northern hemisphere autumn. The warning comes as the number of world daily infections hit a record high. The WHO reported 310,692 new cases worldwide on September 11, with the weekly trend starting to spike again after levelling off over the past month. The trend in daily deaths, however, continues to drop as treatments for severe Covid-19 cases continue to improve.

Europe is warned of rising Covid-19 rates as it enters the autumn season - WHO | News by Thaiger

India, the US, Brazil, Argentina and France led the way yesterday as the countries adding the most new cases in the world. Regionally, the Americas, the Asian sub-continent and Europe remain the major concerns at this phase of the Covid-19 response. (Figures from September 14, according to worldometers.info)

Europe is warned of rising Covid-19 rates as it enters the autumn season - WHO | News by Thaiger

The WHO Europe director Hans Kluge, speaking to AFP, say that the situation… “is going to get tougher. In October, November, we are going to see more mortality.” Europe’s 55 members have been meeting with the WHO yesterday and today, focusing on their virus response as the global death toll crossed 932,000 and expected to reach a million deaths within the next 10 days.

WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus punctuated the situation.

“We are by no means out of the woods.”

Around the world the Covid-19 hangover continues as some country’s try and re-open their borders and restart their battered economies, others re-open and then re-apply restrictions as cases rise, and others just keep their borders sealed for now. The UN World Tourism Organisation reports that 53% of the world’s tourist destinations have now started easing travel restrictions government’s imposed in response to the Covid-19 pandemic.

• In advanced economies, 79% of tourism destinations had already started easing restrictions. In emerging economies, less than half, just 47% of destinations, have started the process.

• 64% of those destinations which have eased have a “high or medium dependence” on airlines to deliver international tourists to their location. Island destinations are particularly at risk at this time as the air lift is critical to their tourist success.

• 43% of all worldwide destinations continue to have their borders completely closed to all tourism, of which 27 destinations have had their borders “completely closed” for at least 7 months.

• 50% of destinations in the survey, with borders completely closed to tourism, are listed as being among the “World’s Most Vulnerable Countries”. They include 10 Small Island Developing States, 1 Least Developed Country and 3 Land-Locked Developing Countries.

The cities of Marseille and Bordeaux in France have announced a series of new restrictions on public gatherings as Covid-19 infections soar in the country with a second wave of infections more pronounced than the first European wave in March and April this year.

The latest surge is sparking alarm across Europe, and reviving debate over how quickly to re-open businesses and borders, and the best way to fight the rise in infections. Currently England has restricted social gatherings to no more than 6 people from yesterday. At the same time millions of schoolchildren around Europe are heading back to their classrooms for the first time in months. The UK’s Institute for Employment Studies has just released a report showing how Covid-19 may cost 1 million jobs in Britain this year.

But while Europe is coping with a a new wave of infections, other parts of the world are prying open their borders and easing restrictions. Saudi Arabia announced it would partially lift a 6-month suspension of international flights this week. South Korea says it would ease rules around Seoul after cases declined in the capital.

Meanwhile clinical trials continue on a range of vaccines around the world. Researchers on the AstraZeneca-Oxford University project, who aim to conclude testing by the end of 2020, had “voluntarily paused” the trial last week after a volunteer developed an unexplained illness.

But the WHO’s European director Hans Kluge is urging the public not to put all their hopes on a single vaccine from just one country.

“I hear the whole time… the vaccine is going to be the end of the pandemic. Of course not. The end of the pandemic would come when communities learn to live with the disease.”

Meanwhile, the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board is warning that… ” far too little is being done to prepare for future, possibly even more damaging pandemics.”

“The crisis had revealed how little the world had focused on preparing for such disasters, despite ample warning.”

 

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10 Comments

10 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Mike

    Tuesday, September 15, 2020 at 11:02 am

    Check the cases in Europe which are increasing day by day and the very very low death rate. We are having a casedemic, not a pandemic. Look at the science not a fear and control.

    • Avatar

      Rinky Stingpiece

      Tuesday, September 15, 2020 at 2:45 pm

      I would like to see the correlations between mortality and obesity, mortality and age, and mortality and urban population density… there is also a cultural dimension, of those more tactile cultures, and also a sanitation correlation… and all of this is linked to poverty and education.

      • Avatar

        Perceville Smithers

        Tuesday, September 15, 2020 at 3:14 pm

        What news have you been watching or listening to? That info, at least as it relates to the U.S., has been reported for months.

        • Avatar

          Rinky Stingpiece

          Tuesday, September 15, 2020 at 10:52 pm

          I was looking at the latest figures, showing India, Brazil, Mexico, lots of Latin america and Phils and Indo, Israel, places with dense populations, and not all the healthiest either.
          I know they reported this a while back, but it was premature to say, places like Italy had more elderly, and you had to wait and see how places like Japan fared in comparison.
          I’m trying to get a sense of where things might go over the next 3 or 6 months. Obviously, parts of Europe are also facing a bumpy winter in terms of their graphs.

      • Avatar

        Issan John

        Wednesday, September 16, 2020 at 1:15 pm

        “UK EUROPE have a very low death rate but high infection rate nobody knows why ….”

        The death rate world wide is 3.2% (32 deaths per thousand cases). Holland has one of the highest rates at 80 per thousand, the US in the middle at 30 per thousand, Thailand one of the lowest at ‘only’ 17 per thousand.

        The suggestion is that the variation in rates probably isn’t due to the standard of treatment (Thailand’s is unlikely to be four times better than Holland’s, to be realistic) but in varying strains, as you say, and in early detection (which isn’t necessarily related purely to testing).

      • Avatar

        Issan John

        Wednesday, September 16, 2020 at 1:20 pm

        I’m far from sure that “co-morbundities” clarify the situation or reduce the risk of ill effects (such as death) as much as is often suggested.

        These include everything from obesity to diabetes, high blood pressure to “old age” (over 60), and anything in between, and that’s at least a third of the population in most countries.

    • Avatar

      Issan John

      Wednesday, September 16, 2020 at 1:03 pm

      Agreed, “look at the science”.

      In Holland the death rate is 80 per thousand (8%).

      World-wide it’s 32 per thousand (3.2%).

      If that’s “very, very low” then I suppose QAnon’s got it right.

  2. Avatar

    Mark

    Tuesday, September 15, 2020 at 3:09 pm

    UK EUROPE have a very low death rate but high infection rate nobody knows why doctors in hospital have the thought that there is 2/3 different Covid virus with the original virus which called L from China the other thoughts is the virus is less dangerous over the next 3 months we will see at present all people are 14 day quarantine maybe this will be the normal for 2021 even if a vaccine is found it will take at least a year Or two to vaccinate the world

    • Avatar

      Issan John

      Wednesday, September 16, 2020 at 1:12 pm

      “UK EUROPE have a very low death rate but high infection rate nobody knows why ….”

      The death rate world wide is 3.2% (32 deaths per thousand cases). Holland has one of the highest rates at 80 per thousand, the US in the middle at 30 per thousand, Thailand one of the lowest at ‘only’ 17 per thousand.

      The suggestion is that the variation in rates probably isn’t due to the standard of treatment (Thailand’s is unlikely to be four times better than Holland’s, to be realistic) but in varying strains, as you say, and in early detection (which isn’t necessarily related purely to testing).

      • Avatar

        Thailover

        Friday, September 18, 2020 at 6:26 pm

        Where is the stated number based on, the 80 per thousand death rate? The dutch institute publishes 0.9%, but data experts in Holland are convinced this number is far to high, in reality it’s 0.23%.
        Right now the number of check cases is rising rapidly, but the number of hospital admissions is low. So in fact the covid-19 is less mortal than participate in traffic.

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