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International travel in 2021 is unpredictable – Tourism Authority of Thailand

Caitlin Ashworth

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International travel in 2021 is unpredictable – Tourism Authority of Thailand | The Thaiger
PHOTO: Unsplash: Aleksei Zaitcev
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The future of Thailand’s travel industry is “opaque”, according to Tourism Authority of Thailand governor Yuthasak Supasorn. For once the usually over-optimistic TAT has made a completely honest assessment of the current situation.

“There are unpredictable factors that come into play when trying to determine how 2021 will pan out, like the availability of a Covid-19 vaccine, the number of coronavirus infections and travel restrictions. The tourism sector might not have what’s considered a normal revenue, at least 80% of the pre-pandemic level, until 2022.”

“We set 2021 as a year of adjustment before seeing a leap in 2022. We forecast Thailand will achieve 2.5 trillion baht in tourism revenue in 2022, or 80-90% of 2019, which recorded 3 trillion baht.”

In reality, any large tourism recovery to pre-Covid numbers could take a lot longer.

Yuthasak says he met with an official from the Chinese Embassy and says that large groups of Chinese tourists, who made up around 10 million, or 25%, of foreign arrivals in 2019, will probably not travel to Thailand until a coronavirus vaccine is widely available. It’s unclear how long it will take to commercially produce a vaccine and distribute it across the world.

A rebound in international tourism is expected around the third quarter of 2021 or in 2022, according to the World Tourism Organisation, based on the current situation but, learning from this year’s events, recoveries in any industry are highly speculative.

For Thailand, Yuthasak says the country might see a moderate number of international guests around the second and third quarter of 2021 with more tourists visiting during the summer when the spread of the virus is considered to slow down due to the hot weather.

SOURCE:Bangkok Post

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19 Comments

19 Comments

  1. Avatar

    EdwardV

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 12:07 pm

    “Chinese tourists … will probably not travel to Thailand until a coronavirus vaccine is widely available.” – Like a cold bucket of water to the face. I’m guessing after summer at the earliest, more likely in time for next years high season.

  2. Avatar

    Dreamon

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 3:21 pm

    With border closed, stupid visa requirements and a violent monarch ruling the country is more than predictable, is dead.

    • Avatar

      Issan John

      Friday, November 27, 2020 at 9:49 pm

      Rex regnat sed non gubernat.

      Maybe you would do well to remember who said “Thailand is the land of compromise”, even if others have ignored it.

  3. Avatar

    Issan John

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 3:24 pm

    Wow … who’d have guessed?

  4. Avatar

    Jack Sombra

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 3:48 pm

    “will probably not travel to Thailand until a coronavirus vaccine is widely available.”

    Anyone paying the slightest bit of attention and more than 2 brain cells to rub together (ie not anyone in TAT) could have told them that about China, hell many of us have been screaming it for months everytime they came out with a new plan. Does this mean Thailand will stop building any and all reopening plans around China? Probably not, bet you within the next week we see yet another one.

  5. Avatar

    Remo

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 5:45 pm

    The Thai government only focuses on the Chinese market, and they completely neglect the rest of the world.

    They think Chinese tour groups will save the Thai tourism industry with the groups who stay in 20 dollar hotels in Jomtien and only go to organised programs.

    The ignore that the real revenue comes from Farangs and Japanese/ Koreans who spend 10 000 Baht every night in entertainment venues.

    • Avatar

      James cooks

      Friday, November 27, 2020 at 8:40 pm

      Chinese tour groups,if stay on 4 star hotels normally ZERO tour fare

    • Avatar

      preesy chepuce

      Saturday, November 28, 2020 at 12:53 am

      It’s certainly underreported that white people spend a huge amout on beer and women and travel and accommodation and food and whether it’s popular or not, it is a substantial income stream both for the government and for Thai people directly; Chinese just don’t.

  6. Avatar

    Khunplastic

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 6:15 pm

    Mai pen lai,

    thailand does not need tourism of any kind nowadays due to the country being an industrial power house anyway.

    Sadly a few folks will lose their jobs but that’s ok as they can all easily be re employed by the many many locally owned world famous brands located on the eastern seaboard.

    Mama and papa back east will not have to sell the Hilux or buddha forbid cancel the satellite telly subscription!

    Got rid of all those loud noisy uncultured folks from the middle Kingdom and as a bonus most of those ke neow smelly long nosed types who come from buddha knows where.

    Happy days indeed,Sabai sabai

    And we all lived happily ever after

    Amen.

  7. Avatar

    JIM KELLY

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 7:00 pm

    They are ‘THAI”!!!…….. enough said guys!

  8. Avatar

    Mike Frenchie

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 7:16 pm

    Of course Chinese will not come till Q4 2021 or later. It will take the whole year to vaccine Chinese and Thailand is by no mean a trusted covid country since Chinese trust nobody so far (not to mention that it is economically better to keep the Chinese at home for the Chinese government). Now… let’s stop pretending that the “travel together” has any real affect and let’s imagine that the biggest Thai groups have to survive till 2022 bleeding cash. Will they reach 2022…? Nothing is less sure…

  9. Avatar

    Peter

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 7:33 pm

    Thailand won’t be open until a large part of its population is vaccinated. Simple.
    If you think this bunch of clowns can organise production and mass distribution of a new vaccine by 2022, then your deluded.
    Borders will remained closed.

  10. Avatar

    Issan John

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 9:54 pm

    “….the real revenue comes from Farangs and Japanese/ Koreans who spend 10 000 Baht every night in entertainment venues.”

    Really?

    Any evidence to support that?

    (just asking …)

    • Avatar

      Khunplastic

      Friday, November 27, 2020 at 11:21 pm

      a bill of that size by a Japanese corporate type entertaing clients would be considered very small.

      80 to 100 k per night would probably be a more reasonable estimate.

      There are many places in Bangkok that cater to such types round ekami and soi thanyiana/silom that I know of and suspect many more must exist city and country wide.

      It is considered very good value compared to the price of such entertainment back home in Japan.

      It is far from uncommon for them to settle such bills in cash even though often on expenses.

  11. Avatar

    Patrick Kelly

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 10:27 pm

    The organization of the vaccine and how to administer to millions will not be easy. Travel will take years to recover fully and those involved in tourism will bear the brunt . There are no easy answers.

  12. Avatar

    James

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 10:54 pm

    Whatever has been said in this article applies to all countries the tourism and travel

    No one is traveling anywhere at the moment.

    Once Thailand has been inoculated with the Dirty Farang vaccine from Oxford, tourists will flood back in.

  13. Avatar

    Toby Andrews

    Friday, November 27, 2020 at 11:38 pm

    Any business that closes for only a month will lose customers.
    A business that closes for nine months will have customers forget that they are there.
    Thailand tourism is a business,

  14. Avatar

    Greg Chapman

    Saturday, November 28, 2020 at 2:15 am

    Sure, me for one … 3 trips a year, average night out as follows:
    Drinks for me = B1,000
    Drinks for girls= B1,500
    Bar fine =B. 6-800
    Money for girl. =B3,000 +
    Meal for girl
    and me. = B2-3,000
    Sundries,
    Taxis,tips etc = B1,500

    It soon mounts up when you’re enjoying yourself !!!.

  15. Avatar

    ada

    Saturday, November 28, 2020 at 2:30 pm

    The whole world will not need to be vaccined to make Thailand better off.
    Only people who want to come to Thailand.
    And the ones who want to come they will be able to get vaccine quickly ones available if they pay for it.

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Caitlin Ashworth is a writer from the United States who has lived in Thailand since 2018. She graduated from the University of South Florida St. Petersburg with a bachelor’s degree in journalism and media studies in 2016. She was a reporter for the Daily Hampshire Gazette In Massachusetts. She also interned at the Richmond Times-Dispatch in Virginia and Sarasota Herald-Tribune in Florida.

Coronavirus (Covid-19)

Health Minister volunteering to receive first Covid jab, as effectiveness rate questioned

Maya Taylor

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Health Minister volunteering to receive first Covid jab, as effectiveness rate questioned | The Thaiger
PHOTO: Wikimedia

“I’ll go first!”

Thailand’s Public Health Minister has repeated his pledge to be the first person to receive the Covid-19 vaccine, in a bid to allay people’s concerns. Questions have been raised about the Chinese-manufactured Sinovac Biotech jab after its effectiveness rating was revised downwards by researchers in Brazil.

Anutin Charnvirakul says the vaccine process will be overseen by Sophon Mekthon from the Ministry of Public Health and all safety criteria will be met. The Pattaya News reports that the minister says he has confidence in the safety of the vaccine and is willing to prove it by being the first person to get the jab. It’s not the first time he has made this suggestion but there has been no official confirmation that the Health Minister will be first in line.

Thailand has ordered 2 million doses of the vaccine, with the first 200,000 expected to arrive next month. The government has also ordered 26 million doses of a Covid-19 vaccine produced by AstraZeneca in partnership with Oxford University but is not expected to take delivery of that vaccine until the middle of the year.

SOURCE: The Pattaya News

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Economy

Government considering another registration round for co-payment scheme

Maya Taylor

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Government considering another registration round for co-payment scheme | The Thaiger
PHOTO: Thai PBS World

The Finance Ministery is considering adding another registration round to the Khon La Khrueng (“Let’s Go Halves”) co-payment scheme, as 1.34 million rights have not yet been taken up. The government introduced the scheme last October, in an effort to stimulate the Covid-battered economy. Under the scheme, Thai citizens get a 50% subsidy on the purchase of food, drink and general products, up to 150 baht per person per day, to a maximum of 3,000 baht for the duration of the scheme. Those who sign up need to make purchases within 14 days of their registration.

The first phase got under way on October 23 and finished on December 31, with the government setting aside 30 billion baht to cover 10 million people. The second phase began on January 1 and runs until March 31, covering an additional 5 million people. The cap has also been raised from 3,000 to 3,500 baht.

Kulaya Tantitemit from the Fiscal Policy Office says that of the combined 15 million rights, 13.66 have been taken up. The Bangkok Post reports that those who have not received subsidy rights can register for the 1.34 million that remain by the end of this month.

The Finance Ministry is also considering a third phase of the scheme, based on the success of the first 2 phases, according to Minister Arkhom Termpittayapaisith.

SOURCE: Bangkok Post

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Crime

Arrest warrants sought for 8 civilians suspected of smuggling migrant workers

Maya Taylor

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Arrest warrants sought for 8 civilians suspected of smuggling migrant workers | The Thaiger
PHOTO: AP

Deputy national police chief Damrongsak Kittiprapas has confirmed that arrest warrants are being sought for 8 civilians implicated in the illegal smuggling of migrant workers. The Bangkok Post reports that the 8 face charges of aiding and abetting illegal immigration. The workers were trafficked from Myanmar to the central Thai province of Samut Sakhon, where the latest outbreak of Covid-19 began last month. 20 police officers are also being investigated for their role in the smuggling operation. They have been suspended from duty pending a full investigation. It’s thought there are up to 25 police officers suspected of involvement.

“After tracing the migrant workers’ route into Samut Sakhon and then jobs at its shrimp market, we found that most received direct assistance from more than 20 police officials and eight civilians. They smuggled the workers across the border in Sangkhla Buri district of Kanchanaburi and then provided transport to get them to Samut Sakhon.”

Damrongsak says an investigative committee is being set up prior to criminal prosecution and disciplinary action being taken against the police officers involved.

“A formal fact-finding procedure will be carried out before both disciplinary and legal action is pursued against them.”

The committee, which is being chaired by the assistant national police chief, will work with a separate panel set up by the government to investigate the role of police officers in people smuggling. The committee is mostly made up of police officers. Damrongsak says PM Prayut Chan-o-cha insists that investigating officers carry out their duties in an honest and transparent manner.

SOURCE: Bangkok Post

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