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News Forum - DDC forecasts potential Covid-19 scenarios amid tourism restart


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Ahead of next week’s reopening of Thailand’s international borders and the relaxing of quarantine requirements, the Department of Disease Control has provided a rundown of 3 potential Covid-19 scenarios facing the nation. The scenarios – categorised as “green”, “orange” and “grey” – respectively outline the risk of the virus spreading locally against the backdrop of the tourism restart, according to a range of factors. Under the DDC’s modelling, the best-case scenario is the green scenario, with Nation Thailand reporting Dr Chawetsan Namwat, DDC emergency disease and health hazards control division director, as stating that under this scenario the chance of […]

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Almost as bad as TAT, you haven't opened yet and already the numbers are being spewed out, why can't you just wait and see what happens before opening the gob ?

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1 hour ago, Thaiger said:

The scenarios – categorised as “green”, “orange” and “grey”

Christonabike .. we gone thru just about every colour in the spectrum now .. have pity the colourblind is all you can say .. 

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16 minutes ago, palooka said:

Well we are nearly in "Grey" already and haven't opened yet.

Under the grey scenario, in which the vaccination rate from October to December misses its target, there would be a rise in the infection rate to the same level as pre-lockdown, with daily infections potentially reaching 10,000

Add in the missing ATK 's and we are already above the Gray scenario 

DDC

Dumb

Dumber 

C##t's

 

 

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42 minutes ago, Graham said:

Almost as bad as TAT, you haven't opened yet and already the numbers are being spewed out, why can't you just wait and see what happens before opening the gob ?

'Cos there's nothing wrong with being prepared?

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1 hour ago, Dedinbed said:

Christonabike .. we gone thru just about every colour in the spectrum now .. have pity the colourblind is all you can say .. 

'Christonabike'   -  You talking about me?
I'm not colour-blind, I know which shade of grey the stop and go lights are.

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They left out a scenario: the "Red" scenario. Where the influx of tourists causes a surge in new infections. It's well known that fully vaccinated people can still get Covid and can spread it to others. We'll see what happens as the tourists come in (if they come at all).

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True. A vaccinated tourist (or anyone for that matter) can still contract and spread Covid. But you won't get seriously ill or die as a result. Vaccination also reduces the risk of spread. The Health sector are really worried about a few things. Being inundated with critical cases and having no ICU beds. People who are as yet unvaccinated and not having the supply of vaccines. Medical Staff who are exhausted and overworked. 

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