Totally 100% agree. No doubt the initial response by Thailand suppressed the virus far far better than the U.K. though that is a separate discussion as to why the two countries adopted a different containment strategy. However, it is without question that the actions taken by Thailand resulted in far far fewer cases than countries like Italy, U.K., Germany, US etc
They would be higher and could be as high as the U.K. is today. I did say that if they tested 10 times more it wouldn’t equate to 10 times as many cases found. But it would be far higher as they would detect asymptomatic cases which are equally as dangerous in terms of spreading the virus. I believe I said if Thailand was to test as many as the U.K. (20 times more) they would find 3-5 times as many cases as they do today. Perhaps 40,000 daily cases.
Yes, again I totally agree. However it would still be a much higher number than it is today. I believe the 9,000 a day presented each and every day for some weeks is misleading and potentially deliberately misleading. It is giving many a false sense of security.
Finally on testing I would say this about Thailand. Since August this year, their daily tests have been falling from around 60,000 a day to 30,000-40,000 a day. Let’s call it a 40% reduction in testing. Over the same period, it has seen a reduction in cases from around 20,000 a day in August to around 10,000 a day now. Coincidence? I’m a stickler for being clear between correlation and causation and halving tests may not be the reason for halving cases found. But….